Posts Tagged ‘New York’

Pressure is on the Pitchers in this Pivotal Post-Season Match

October 6, 2011

In the must win game five of the ALDS both the New York Yankees and the Detroit Tigers will place their Championship hopes on the arms of two young, inexperienced pitchers. Game five will be a rematch of game one, where Yankees’ Rookie, Ivan Nova’s two earned runs over six and a third innings earned the victory over Doug Fister and the Tigers. While on the surface it appears that Ivan Nova had the more dominant regular season, as he collected 16 victories and only four losses, opposed to Fister’s 11-13 Win-Loss mark. However, over the last two months of the season, Fister was the best pitcher on the Tigers, (A staff that features presumable Al Cy Young winner, Justin Verlander), going 8-1 with a 1.79 ERA in 11 starts. Check out Nova’s and Fister’s home and away records in the regular season.


While Fister’s had a phenomenal August and September on the hill, he only faced clubs with winning records twice in his 11 starts. Nova, playing in the AL East, faced fierce lineups all year. Compare the amount of Earned Runs Nova and Fister allowed in each of their starts and how it affected their ERAs. Notice that Nova’s ERA was very mercurial while Fister’s ERA significantly tapered off towards the end of the season while facing sub-par lineups.


Examining tonight’s starting pitcher’s Strikeout to Walk Ratio when broken down by home and away, one notices that Fister’s control is more consistent. Also, Nova’s 1.39 home Strikeout to Walk Ratio is nearly three times less than Fister’s 4.12 away Strikeout to Walk Ration and reduces the Bronx Bombers’ advantage at Yankee Stadium.


Fister’s overall regular season WHIP (Walks and Hits per Innings Pitched) was .26 points better than Nova’s and Fister’s away WHIP is .34 points better than Nova’s home. Check out Fister’s and Nova’s WHIPs in the regular season.


While is appears that Fister is the better pitcher, if one factors in their Strikeout to Walk Ratios, WHIPs and Fister’s stellar August and September, Nova was much better in game one. Will Fister again blow up against the powerful Yankees’ lineup and torpedo the Tigers’ season? Or will Nova’s inexperience and lackluster numbers at Yankee Stadium derail the Yankees’ October? Either way a young pitcher will likely become a postseason hero.

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In a New York Nightmare

October 4, 2011

With the struggling A.J. Burnett toeing the rubber in a critical ALDS game four this evening, the Yankees’ 2011 season could be over in a New York minute. Burnett (11-11, 5.15 ERA) has a 7.66 ERA in his last ten starts and allowed five runs in six innings against Texas for a Yankees loss in last year’s ALCS. The Yankees will have to overcome some recent history as well, because since 2007 no team has won a playoff game starting a pitcher with an ERA over five. Check out how Burnett’s ERA has fluctuated this year and skyrocketed at the end of the season.

This nightmare scenario for Yankees fan becomes even dimmer when one notices the slumping production of the Yankees’ best bat, Curtis Granderson. Even though Granderson was tied for fourth in the Majors with 77 Extra Base Hits this season, the overall trend of the number of Extra-Base Hits he hit per week was down. Much worse, Granderson’s batting average was a dismal .205 in September. Meanwhile, the Tiger’s best hitter and AL batting Champion, Miguel Cabrera, had an upward trend for Extra Base hits throughout the season (he was third in the Majors with 78) and finished the year with a sizzling .429 batting average in September. Compare Grandrson’s and Cabrera’s Extra Base Hit production in 2011.

The nightmare match up continues when one compares the Tiger’s and Yankees’ Designated Hitters. Detroit’s Victor Martinez batted .333, drove in 103 Runs and only struck out in 8.6 percent of his plate appearances in the 2011 regular season. Yankee DH, Jorge Posada is batting a dismal .169 outside of the Bronx this season. Posada is a major liability at the plate tonight in Comerica Park, as he only had 13 RBIs and struck out in a whopping 23.9 percent of his plate appearance on the road this year. Compare Martinez’s and Posada’s offensive production this season.

With a struggling pitcher on the mound and slumping bats at the plate will tonight be the end of the Yankees’ season?

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ALDS Ace Showdown, Take Two

October 3, 2011

With game one of the ALDS suspended due to heavy rain on Friday evening, the much anticipated showdown between pitching aces Justin Verlander and C.C. Sabathia will instead commence tonight at Comerica Park. The series is tied up at one game a piece so this evening’s assumed pitching duel will go along way in determining who move onto the ALCS. This match up taking place 650 miles west in Detroit as opposed to the Bronx appears to give a distinct advantage to Justin Verlander. Five of Sabathia’s eight losses this season have come on the road. Verlander has only lost one game in Detroit since May. Also, Sabathia’s 2.90 Strikeout to Walk ratio on the road is almost half his 5.22 Strikeout to Walk ratio at home. Meanwhile, Verlander’s 4.60 Strikeout to Walk ratio in Detroit is only slightly better than his 4.16 road Strikeout to Walk ratio. Compare Sabathia’s and Verlander’s win loss records and Strikeout to Walk ratios at home and on the road.

Click for much further analysis of Sabathia’s and Verlander’s performance this regular season.

It is highly unlikely that both squads would send their aces to the hill on such short rest in a potential game five, so this pitching showdown shall be decisive for both the Yankees’ and Tiger’s Championship hopes.

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ALDS Game One: Tigers Vs. Yankees Redux

October 1, 2011

Game One of the ALDS was suspended in the middle of the second inning last night due to heavy rain. Jorge Posada will lead off for the Yankees in the bottom of the second with the score knotted up at one a piece. While fans were only treated to less than 30 pitches from aces Justin Verlander and C.C. Sabathia, tonight’s game will resume with another great pitching match-up. Red-hot Doug Fister (11-13, 2.83 ERA) will take the hill for the Tigers. Fister has not lost nor allowed more than one earned run in his last eight starts. They Yankees will counter with Rookie sensation Ivan Nova (16-4, 3.70 ERA). Check out how many Earned Runs each pitchers has allowed per week this season.

Click for much further insight on Fister and Nova

With a low chance of precipitation, baseball fans shall be treated to some great October ball at Yankees Stadium this evening.

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Keys to the Game: Tigers Vs. Yankees, ALDS Game 1, September 30, 2011

September 30, 2011

The Yankees finished the regular season with the best record in the AL, but are in for a tough ALDS against the AL Central Champion, Detroit Tigers. Both clubs hit a bit of a skid to end the season with Detroit dropping their last five games and the Yankees losing four in a row. The post-season will start the same way as the regular season, as Justin Verlander will square off against C.C. Sabathia. Perennial Cy Young favorite and AL pitching Triple Crown winner, Justin Verlander (24-5, 2.40 ERA), won 12 starts in a row before recording a no-decision in his last outing of the season. However, Verlander twice failed to defeat the Yankees in his two starts against the Bombers this season, while recording a 4.50 ERA. Similarly Yankees’ ace, C.C. Sabathia (19-8, 3.00 ERA) failed to record a win against Detroit this season and had a 4.15 ERA in two starts. Compare how Verlander and Sabathia have pitched this season based on their Earned Runs allowed per week.

Click for much further insight on Verlander and Sabathia.

The Tigers have a fantastic duo at the plate with AL Batting Champion Miguel Cabrera, who batted .344 with 105 RBIs, and Victor Martinez, who knocked in 102 Runs and batted .330. The Yankees scored an incredible 867 Runs this season and lead the league with 222 Home Runs. The Yankees’ Curtis Granderson lead the Majors with 41 Home Runs and lead the AL with 119 RBIs. The Yankees also had two other 100 RBIs hitters as Robinson Cano and Mark Teixeira knocked in 118 and 111 RBIs respectively. Compare tonight’s starting lineup for Detroit and New York.

DET: RBIs (Blue), Runs Scored (Orange) & Total Bases (Green)


NYY: RBIs (Blue), Runs Scored (Orange) & Total Bases (Green)

The Tigers won the regular 4-3 and have arguably the best pitcher in the game. The Yankees do have the best closer of all time in Mariano Rivera, so New York will have a edge in the final frame if the game is close.

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AL Starting Rotations

September 29, 2011

The Postseason is upon us and in a season when offensive production was down through out the league the age old adage “Pitching wins Championships” should ring even true in 2011. All four American League Playoff teams boast formidable projected four man rotations. The Detroit Tigers have the best one two punch with presumable AL Cy Young winner Justin Verlander (24-5, 2.40 ERA) and Doug Fister who is 8-1 with a 1.80 ERA since joining the Tigers at the trade-deadline. Check out Detroit’s projected playoff starting rotation.

DET: ERs Allowed (Blue), Strikeouts (Orange) & Walks (Green)

The Defending AL Champion, Texas Rangers, have a fantastic starting trio of C.J. Wilson (16-7, 2.94 ERA), Derek Holland (16-5, 3.95 ERA) and Matt Harrison (14-9, 3.39 ERA). Check out the numbers for the projected Rangers starting pitchers.

TEX: ERs Allowed (Blue), Strikeouts (Orange) & Walks (Green)

The “miracle” Rays have two pitchers, James Shields and Jeremy Hellickson, with sub 3.00 ERAs. Check out how Tampa Bay’s potential postseason starting staff have performed this season.

TB: ERs Allowed (Blue), Strikeouts (Orange) & Walks (Green)

The New York Yankees finished with the best record in the American League but besides staff Ace, C.C. Sabathia (19-8, 3.00 ERA), the Bronx Bombers have some serious issues with their potential post-season starters. Ivan Nova (16-4, 3.70 ERA) has had a great rookie campaign but can the Yanks trust such an inexperienced arm in big pressure games? With Phil Hughes out with a back injured, can the pinstripes really in good faith give the ball to A.J. Burentt (11-11, 5.15 ERA). Check out how the four potential New York starters have performed in 2011.

NYY: ERs Allowed (Blue), Strikeouts (Orange) & Walks (Green)

With such great pitchers except some excellent pitchers duels this postseason in the American League.

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Keys to the Game: Yankees Vs Rays, September 26,2011

September 26, 2011

One game back of the Boston Red Sox for the AL Wild Card Race, the Tampa Bay Rays must win this upcoming series with the New York Yankees, something they haven’t done all year, if they hope to keep their post-season aspirations alive. Tampa will send their best pitcher, James Shields (15-12, 2.84 ERA), to the the hill tonight. However, Shields has not fared well against the Yankees this year with the Rays dropping all three of his starts. Even worse, Shields is 4-11 with a 4.29 ERA in 19 career starts against the bombers. Check out Shields’ number against Yankees for his career.

ERs Allowed (Blue), HRs Allowed (Orange) & Hits Allowed (Green)

The Yankees will start Rookie Reliever, Hector Noesi (2-1, 4.14 ERA). Noesi has had success against the Rays, allowing two Earned Runs in 8.2 innings this season.

The Rays could have the advantage at the plate tonight, as the Yankees should be fatigued from the 23 innings they played against Boston yesterday in a day-night double header. Compare the production of the Yankees’ and Ray’s starting lineups tonight.

RBIs (Blue), Runs Scored (Orange) & Total Bases (Green)

Even though the Yankees will field a more productive lineup this evening, the Rays will have much fresher legs. One must wonder if Joe Girardi will begin to rest his starters and give the Rays a chance of overcoming the largest September deficit in history?

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Clash of Compelling Center Fielders

September 23, 2011

While the Yankees have already clinched the AL East title, New York would revel in handing the Red Sox some crippling loses while they desperately attempt to hold onto their tenuous grip of the AL Wild Card. Both team’s boast excellent Center Fielders as Boston’s Jacoby Ellsbury and New York Yankees’ Curtis Granderson are vying for the AL MVP award. Compare Ellsbury’s and Granderson’s RBI production this season and click for some guess for how many RBIs Ellsbury and Granderson will hit in this season’s final three games of this entertaining rivalry.

Summary: Click here for some guesses for how many RBIs Jacoby Ellsbury will hit against the Yankees.

Summary: Click here for some guesses for how many RBIs Curtis Granderson will hit against the Red Sox.

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Keys to the Game: Rays Vs. Yankees, September 22, 2011

September 22, 2011

Tonight the New York Yankees look to complete a four game sweep of Tampa Bay. The Rays desperately need a win to capitalize on the Red Sox recent dismal outings against Baltimore. Fortunately for the Rays, Bartolo Colon (8-9, 3.81 ERA) will take the hill for the Yankees tonight. Colon is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA against the Rays this season and he hasn’t won a game since July 30th. Check out the struggling Colon’s numbers over his last eight starts.

ER Allowed (Blue), Strikouts (Orange) & Walks (Green)

The Rays will give their top pitching prospect, Matt Moore, his first Major League start. Hopefully for Moore and the Rays, the Yankee will still be hungover from their champagne fueled clubhouse celebration last evening for clinching the AL East.

The Yankees will rest AL RBI leader Curtis Granderson and a few September call-ups will start for the Yankees tonight. Compare the offense production this season of each side’s starting lineup this evening. The Rays are clearly fielding a more potent lineup.

RBIs (Blue), HRs (Orange) & Total Bases (Green)

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Rivera Sets Save Record

September 20, 2011

Mariano Rivera of the New York Yankees is officially the best closer in baseball history. During yesterday’s game, he set the MLB save record with his 602nd save. He even had a perfect ninth inning. Trevor Hoffman trails Rivera on the list by one game. Take a look at Rivera’s performance this season.

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